Q: Is quantum randomness ever large enough to be noticed?

The original question was: …true randomness on a quantum level has experimentally been shown to exist.  My question is, does this quantum randomness ever/often/always bubble up to our readily observable world of Newtonian physics to create truly random everyday events?

Physicist: Hard to say.

Quick aside: The difference between quantum randomness, which is absolute, and classical randomness, which basically means “very hard to predict”, is covered a bit in this older post.  In a nutshell, up until the science of quantum mechanics came along it was assumed that if you (somehow) knew everything about an object at one moment, you would be able to perfectly predict how it behaved the next.  However, it turns out that even if you know absolutely everything about a radioactive atom, for example, it’s still impossible to accurately predict when it will decay.  This is called “fundamental”, “irreducible”, or “quantum” randomness.  Back to the point:

Large scale effects can be thought of in terms of lots of small-scale effects being averaged together which usually (and counter-intuitively) leads to much more predictable (classical) results.  This is the same idea that shows up when you flip lots of coins: the total number of heads is very predictably about half.  Generally speaking, any individual quantum event will be drowned out by the noise of all of the other quantum events around it, and the average is the only important thing.

Large scale events that rely on a small number of atoms and interactions are likely to have the same kind of randomness as “legit” quantum phenomena.  For example, the meter on a Geiger counter is an example of quantum randomness on a large-scale.

A Geiger Counter detects radiation, including radiation from nuclear decay.

Nuclear decay is a quantum mechanically random process.  Normally, the effects of nuclear decay are washed out.  For example, you’re hit, on average, by about one high energy particle per exposed square centimeter every second.  Ever notice?  But a Geiger counter detects every high energy particle that passes through its detector (the wand on the right) and notes the event by moving a needle (which is huge by quantum standards) and clicking.  So, what Geiger counters and other sensitive detectors do is “exaggerate” tiny events and bring their effects into the macro-scale.

Normally, large-scale events are fairly well determined.  Whether or not you go to lunch is probably not particularly random.  If someone somehow got every possible piece of information about what everything in the nearby universe was doing, they’d be able to predict large-scale events, including your lunch schedule, with fair accuracy.

If you had complete knowledge about what the universe was doing, this would not be surprising. Unless of course, the dog were basing its decisions on quantum measurements of some kind.  But that would be weird.

However, if you determine whether or not to go to lunch based entirely on the results of a Geiger counter reading, then your lunch outing is a genuine, fundamentally random event.  This wouldn’t change the experience; you won’t see different versions of yourself walking around, and you won’t end up “spread thin” across different versions of the universe.  A quantum random number generator is essentially the same as an ordinary random number generator.

That all said, there’s chaos inherent to most of the stuff that happens in the world (tiny errors becoming bigger errors, becoming bigger errors, …).  However, there’s nothing particularly special about the original source of the errors being quantum mechanical.  As far as prediction goes, randomness due to quantum mechanics and randomness due to a lack of perfect knowledge (which is pretty hard to avoid) are pretty much the same.  This is a pretty subtle distinction.

You can expect that, after a lot of time, the randomness of quantum processes will lead to worlds that are wildly different from each other because of the butterfly effect.  But that’s pretty unsatisfying.  It would be more interesting to be able to point at a large thing in the world and say “that is dependent on just a couple of quantum events”.

The most dramatic example of exactly that is probably biological life.  The earliest development of a creature is strongly influenced by the interactions of a relatively small number of chemical interactions.  An atom in the wrong place in the flagella motor of a sperm can determine whether or not someone is born at all.  More than that, the evolution of entire species can be changed by a single mistake in the replication of a strand of DNA (this is one mechanism for mutation).

On a more individual basis, it’s hard to say how much the process of thinking is affected by the actions of just a few atoms.  The fact that you can lose a heck of a lot of brain cells without noticing implies that the activity of a handful of atoms probably isn’t too important when it comes to human behavior.  That said; maybe?

By the way, it’s a little dangerous to tread this close to the intersection between quantum mechanics and living things and consciousness in casual conversation.  To be clear, the important thing about life here is that it can change a lot based on the actions of just a few atoms.  Change a few atoms in a rock, and you’ve still got a nearly identical rock.  So the nature of the physical, gooey, grey matter is what’s important here, and not on the nature of consciousness itself.

In general, there probably aren’t too many day-to-day events that “turn on a quantum dime”.  The only exceptions (I can think of) is in the effects of the earliest, single-celled, development stage of complex organisms, when the actions of just a couple of atoms consistently result in very large changes later on, and in the lab, where sensitive equipment can detect and report on the fundamentally random actions of individual particles.

The highly predictable dog picture is from here.

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7 Responses to Q: Is quantum randomness ever large enough to be noticed?

  1. Ron says:

    Biology is probably the single greatest example. One very random change (in an information sequence that gets replicated like DNA) can result in exponential representation many generations later.

  2. Will says:

    It is however, important to remember that just because one random change -can- result in exponential representation doesn’t mean every random change -will- result in exponential representation.

  3. James says:

    Speaking of deciding whether to go to lunch based on a Geiger counter. Could you use the same principle to transfer funds between quantum worlds?

    Say by using a Geiger counter to generate a lottery number in such a way that you can guarantee that you have covered all possible lottery numbers relatively evenly in different quantum worlds. So that in effect you would basically be transferring money to different quantum versions of yourself (with a hefty commission on the transaction going to the lottery provider).

    Would this be possible and if so how could one produce a suitable number?

    Could it be as simple as: placing the Geiger counter in a stationary position and then recording the number of clicks in successive time intervals of specific length. Then once the stream of numbers is long enough it could be converted to a binary sequence by checking whether each number in the sequence is larger or smaller than average (the average number of clicks per time period would need to be calculated independently of the data collected for the sequence). Then convert to the lotto number. Would this be enough to create a suitable number?

    Could this be extended? For example a book or a song or a movie can be represented as just a larger number.

    So if you wanted to author every possible book under 600 pages over the week-end (in some quantum world). Could you produce a large enough truly random number, convert to text and give a quick proof read to see if you hit on any of the infinitesimally small fraction of interesting books in the enormous available book space of 600 pages or less?

  4. The Physicist The Physicist says:

    That’s the basic idea!
    But keep in mind that there’s no change to the probabilities. It’s just that you can feel happy knowing that “somewhere out there” is a small set of versions of you that got to see something amazing.

  5. Bill Ingram says:

    A little thought experiment here: What if you could rewind time and repeat the same experiment over and over again?

    If the experiment is flipping a coin, I would think that, with the initial conditions being the same, like the same neurons firing, the same muscles in the hand contracting, the same air currents in the room, etc., then the result should be the same (either all heads or all tails) no matter how many times the experiment is repeated. In other words, if you make a decision based on the outcome of flipping a coin, the result is still basically deterministic.

    But take a different experiment: you observe the radioactive decay of a single atom of cesium-137, for example. Again, if you were able to rewind time and repeat the observation of the same atom over and over again, what would you expect to see? Would the decay times all be the same indicating that there was some deterministic process at work within the nucleus that results in the decay, or would the decay times be observed to be randomly distributed as though you were measuring a large sample of atoms?

    If the former is the case, then there’s little difference between flipping a coin and measuring blips on a Geiger counter.

    If the latter is the case, then we really are at the mercy of a random universe (and time travelers better watch out!)

  6. Al. says:

    Can a analogy be drawn between the subtleties of quantum-Newtonian interactions, and how our universe might in theory react with a multi verse?

  7. LB says:

    Is it possible that one day there will be sentience that is capable of magnifying quantum effects to a scale that is more often the subject of Newtonian physics? For example, the double-slit experiment shows us that it is possible to change the outcome of an event just by observing it. If we were to do an experiment that involved firing a beam of electrons at an object such as a cell, would changing the pattern of electrons similarly to the double-slit experiment change the surface that the beam reflects off i.e. the cell itself?
    And if it is possible to magnify the quantum effect, does that mean the probability that it has already happened is 1, given that this would cause the many-worlds theory to be true and there would theoretically be a universe in which the discovery has already been made?

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